USA · USL League One · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boise 2-1 NY Cosmos
Original prediction
Boise
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.2% | 66.3% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.7% | 18.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.1% | 15.5% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BoiseWWDWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NY CosmosWLDDW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BoiseNY Cosmos
52.8Attack41.7
54.2Defence33.3
56.9Form30.6
56.4Power37.7
2.41xG0.99