Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Boise are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Naples are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the USL League One, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
12.1%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00