GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Boise are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BoiseDWDDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BoiseChattanooga Red Wolves
49.2Attack59.3
54.0Defence53.7
54.0Form57.4
54.1Power57.4
1.46xG1.51
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