Boisevs
Charlotte Independence
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boise 1-1 Charlotte Independence
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.7% | 35.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.8% | 21.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.5% | 43.1% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80