Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boiro 0-0 Viveiro, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boiro 1-0 Viveiro
Original prediction
Boiro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.9% | 40.1% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 31.4% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 6.25 | 14.5% | 28.5% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.8 pts
Projected Score
Boiro 0–0 Viveiro
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Boiro
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Boiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BoiroDLW
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33
BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
ViveiroDW
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
BoiroViveiro
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power64.8
0.71xG0.71