Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Bohemians are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Waterford are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
11.1%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60