Bohemiansvs
Sligo Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bohemians 2-0 Sligo Rovers, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bohemians 3-0 Sligo Rovers
Original prediction
Bohemians
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 74.6% | 74.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.74 | 16.2% | 17.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 10.05 | 9.2% | 8.8% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Bohemians 2–0 Sligo Rovers
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
74.1%
Model confidence
74.1%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BohemiansWWLLL
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sligo RoversDWLDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BohemiansSligo Rovers
56.0Attack27.4
59.5Defence46.4
56.0Form27.4
58.1Power36.3
2.05xG0.57