Bohemiansvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bohemians 0-1 Shelbourne
Original prediction
Bohemians
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.2% | 55.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.5% | 22.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 19.3% | 21.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40