Bohemiansvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shelbourne are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60