GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 7/21/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bohemians are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shelbourne are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the FAI Cup, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bohemians

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BohemiansDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ShelbourneDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BohemiansShelbourne
0.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.87xG1.59
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