Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rockmount are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the FAI Cup, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00