Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dundalk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40