Bohemiansvs
Drogheda United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bohemians 2-1 Drogheda United
Original prediction
Bohemians
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 67.9% | 67.9% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.5% | 18.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 7.33 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
67.9%
Model confidence
67.9%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60