GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 3/6/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Bohemians are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Drogheda United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bohemians

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BohemiansLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Drogheda UnitedWDDDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BohemiansDrogheda United
51.9Attack38.3
61.7Defence46.9
54.3Form34.6
57.0Power42.6
1.85xG0.77
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