Bohemiansvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 8/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bohemians 5-3 Derry City
Original prediction
Bohemians
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BohemiansWLLLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Derry CityWWDLL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BohemiansDerry City
51.9Attack43.2
61.7Defence60.5
54.3Form40.7
57.0Power50.0
1.35xG0.88