GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 5/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bohemians are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bohemians

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BohemiansLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Derry CityWWDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BohemiansDerry City
51.9Attack43.2
61.7Defence60.5
54.3Form40.7
57.0Power50.0
1.35xG0.88
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