Bohemians 1905vs
Mlada Boleslav
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 10/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bohemians 1905 1-0 Mlada Boleslav
Original prediction
Mlada Boleslav
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.9% | 32.6% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.5% | 26.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.6% | 41.0% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Mlada Boleslav
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80