Bogota FCvs
Real Santander
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bogota FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bogota FC 0-0 Real Santander, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bogota FC 1-1 Real Santander
Original prediction
Bogota FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.4% | 42.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.1% | 32.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.5% | 25.9% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
Bogota FC 0–0 Real Santander
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Bogota FC
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Bogota FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bogota FCWDDDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real SantanderWDWLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Bogota FCReal Santander
27.6Attack28.7
66.7Defence51.7
41.0Form29.9
47.8Power39.5
0.88xG0.51