Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bogota FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Quindio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80