Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bogota FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bogota FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Depor FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bogota FC hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera B, while Bogota FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bogota FC
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Bogota FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80