Bogota FCvs
Barranquilla
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/21/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bogota FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bogota FC 0-0 Barranquilla, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bogota FC 2-1 Barranquilla
Original prediction
Bogota FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.1% | 38.3% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.4% | 30.4% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Projected Score
Bogota FC 0–0 Barranquilla
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Bogota FC
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Bogota FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bogota FCDLLWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarranquillaLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bogota FCBarranquilla
26.4Attack40.2
65.5Defence55.2
39.1Form39.1
46.4Power46.2
0.76xG0.76