GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Park · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bognor Regis Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while South Park are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Park hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 75.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the FA Trophy, while South Park holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Park

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

South Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bognor Regis TownDWLWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South ParkDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bognor Regis TownSouth Park
77.8Attack66.7
44.4Defence72.2
66.7Form83.3
62.0Power75.6
1.39xG1.84
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