GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carshalton Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bognor Regis Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Carshalton Athletic are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Carshalton Athletic hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Carshalton Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carshalton Athletic

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Carshalton Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bognor Regis TownLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Carshalton AthleticWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Bognor Regis TownCarshalton Athletic
61.9Attack66.7
50.0Defence100.0
49.2Form100.0
54.5Power91.7
1.65xG1.66
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