Boeun Sangmuvs
Changnyeong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · WK-League · 4/18/2023, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boeun Sangmu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Boeun Sangmu are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Changnyeong are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boeun Sangmu hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the WK-League, while Boeun Sangmu holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boeun Sangmu
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Boeun Sangmu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.25/2.75
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50