Bodrum FKvs
Keçiörengücü
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bodrum FK 0-2 Keçiörengücü
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.7% | 32.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 30.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.5% | 37.7% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40