Bodrum FKvs
Esenler Erokspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bodrum FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bodrum FK 1-0 Esenler Erokspor, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bodrum FK 0-0 Esenler Erokspor
Original prediction
Bodrum FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.3% | 43.1% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 29.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.4% | 27.1% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Projected Score
Bodrum FK 1–0 Esenler Erokspor
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Bodrum FK
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Bodrum FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bodrum FKDDDLL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Esenler EroksporLDDDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor
43.0Attack0.0
78.9Defence100.0
57.0Form33.3
60.3Power45.3
1.28xG0.59