Bodo/Glimtvs
Valerenga
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bodo/Glimt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (11%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Valerenga
Original prediction
Bodo/Glimt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 82.5% | 70.4% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 8.89 | 10.5% | 16.1% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 13.32 | 7.0% | 13.5% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–011%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Bodo/Glimt
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
70.4%
Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40