Bodo/Glimtvs
Rosenborg
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bodo/Glimt · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bodo/Glimt 4-2 Rosenborg
Original prediction
Bodo/Glimt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 69.4% | 75.5% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.40 | 17.3% | 15.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 7.00 | 13.3% | 9.4% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bodo/Glimt
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80