Bodo/Glimtvs
Qarabag
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qarabag · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bodo/Glimt are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Qarabag are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Qarabag holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Qarabag
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Qarabag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60