GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bodo/Glimt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bodo/Glimt are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bodo/Glimt holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bodo/Glimt

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bodo/GlimtWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympiakos PiraeusWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bodo/GlimtOlympiakos Piraeus
58.3Attack63.3
47.9Defence46.7
47.9Form56.7
52.4Power55.7
1.98xG1.84
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