Bodo/Glimtvs
Kristiansund BK
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bodo/Glimt · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Kristiansund BK, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Kristiansund BK
Original prediction
Bodo/Glimt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 88.7% | 69.1% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 12.92 | 7.3% | 16.6% | 9.3 pts |
| Away | 23.64 | 4.0% | 14.2% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Projected Score
Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Kristiansund BK
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Bodo/Glimt
Probability
69.1%
Model confidence
69.1%
Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00