GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bodo/Glimt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bodo/Glimt are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Porto are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bodo/Glimt hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bodo/Glimt holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bodo/Glimt

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Bodo/Glimt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bodo/GlimtLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC PortoWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bodo/GlimtFC Porto
58.3Attack53.3
47.9Defence50.0
47.9Form40.0
52.4Power49.6
1.90xG1.51
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