GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bodo/Glimt are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Beşiktaş are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 84.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bodo/GlimtWLWDL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BeşiktaşWDLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bodo/GlimtBeşiktaş
58.3Attack41.7
47.9Defence100.0
47.9Form100.0
52.4Power84.6
1.35xG1.45
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