Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Boden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Storfors are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boden hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Boden holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boden
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
9.9%
Boden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00