GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 4/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tiller · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Bodø / Glimt II are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tiller are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiller hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the 3. Division - Girone 5, while Tiller holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tiller

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Tiller has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bodø / Glimt IILD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
TillerWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Bodø / Glimt IITiller
67.9Attack55.1
23.1Defence47.4
37.2Form44.9
40.4Power49.6
2.42xG2.57
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