Bocholtvs
Racing Mechelen
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bocholt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bocholt 0-2 Racing Mechelen
Original prediction
Bocholt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.6% | 39.8% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 25.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.1% | 34.5% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bocholt
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bocholt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40