GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boca Unidos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Unidos hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while Boca Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Unidos

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca UnidosLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaWLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Boca UnidosSarmiento Resistencia
42.6Attack26.3
51.9Defence49.1
40.7Form31.6
46.3Power38.5
1.44xG0.68
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