GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Formosa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Boca Unidos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Formosa

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

13.0%

San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca UnidosLWLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin FormosaWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Boca UnidosSan Martin Formosa
42.6Attack57.9
51.9Defence63.2
40.7Form68.4
46.3Power64.4
0.96xG1.63
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