Boca Unidosvs
Gimnasia Concepción
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boca Unidos 0-0 Gimnasia Concepción, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boca Unidos 1-0 Gimnasia Concepción
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 37.0% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.6% | 33.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.2% | 29.8% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Boca Unidos 0–0 Gimnasia Concepción
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Boca UnidosDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónDWWDW
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Boca UnidosGimnasia Concepción
46.0Attack29.0
55.6Defence73.9
46.0Form40.6
50.2Power48.8
0.78xG0.71