GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Unidos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Boca Unidos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensores de Vilelas are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while Boca Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Unidos

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

13.2%

Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca UnidosLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores de VilelasWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Boca UnidosDefensores de Vilelas
42.6Attack50.9
51.9Defence47.4
40.7Form45.6
46.3Power49.2
1.44xG1.37
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