Boca Juniorsvs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boca Juniors 0-0 Vasco DA Gama, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boca Juniors 0-1 Vasco DA Gama
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 50.8% | 37.1% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 30.0% | 31.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 19.2% | 31.8% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Projected Score
Boca Juniors 0–0 Vasco DA Gama
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40