GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Talleres Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Boca Juniors 2-1 Talleres Cordoba

Original prediction

Boca Juniors

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5859.1%58.0%-1.1 pts
Draw3.7125.2%27.0%1.8 pts
Away6.0015.6%15.0%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.1 pts

Projected Score

Boca Juniors 1–0 Talleres Cordoba

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Talleres CordobaDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba
49.4Attack32.2
71.3Defence63.2
58.6Form40.2
60.8Power47.0
1.23xG0.49
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