Boca Juniorsvs
Sportivo Trinidense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Trinidense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20