Boca Juniorsvs
Sao Paulo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boca Juniors 0-0 Sao Paulo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boca Juniors 1-0 Sao Paulo
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 48.2% | 40.5% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 31.2% | 31.1% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 20.7% | 28.4% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Projected Score
Boca Juniors 0–0 Sao Paulo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Boca JuniorsDDWDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sao PauloWWLWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boca JuniorsSao Paulo
66.7Attack41.7
83.3Defence87.5
75.0Form66.7
73.9Power67.1
0.99xG0.82