GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsWDWDD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San LorenzoDDWDL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Boca JuniorsSan Lorenzo
44.4Attack25.4
71.4Defence69.8
55.6Form41.3
58.3Power48.1
0.90xG0.39
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