Boca Juniorsvs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boca Juniors are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40