GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nacional PotosíDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Boca JuniorsNacional Potosí
44.4Attack38.1
77.8Defence38.1
66.7Form47.6
64.7Power42.5
1.71xG0.79
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