Boca Juniorsvs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Boca Juniors are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20