Boca Juniorsvs
Lanus
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/29/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boca Juniors 0-0 Lanus, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanus
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 51.5% | 48.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.9% | 30.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 19.6% | 20.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Boca Juniors 0–0 Lanus
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Boca JuniorsDWDWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LanusDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boca JuniorsLanus
43.5Attack36.2
71.0Defence65.2
53.6Form44.9
57.3Power50.0
1.00xG0.57