GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/25/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleDWWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Boca JuniorsIndependiente del Valle
44.4Attack0.0
77.8Defence83.3
66.7Form16.7
64.7Power36.5
1.26xG0.77
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