GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/11/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

17.0%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsWWWDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
IndependienteWWLLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Boca JuniorsIndependiente
44.4Attack44.4
71.4Defence60.3
55.6Form47.6
58.3Power52.7
1.16xG0.69
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