GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/28/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gimnasia M. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

22.5%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsWDDLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia M.DLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boca JuniorsGimnasia M.
44.4Attack28.3
71.4Defence60.0
55.6Form41.7
58.3Power45.7
1.19xG0.43
View match centre →